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- 📊The Return of Small Caps
📊The Return of Small Caps
Issue #74 TIA Market Recap
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This Week’s Market Forecast… 📊
Small caps hit a record high this week for the first time in over three years, fueled by the Federal Reserve’s decision to begin its rate cutting cycle. These companies are often the most sensitive to interest rate shifts because they rely more heavily on debt to finance growth. Lower borrowing costs improve their balance sheets, open the door to expansion, and make their earnings less pressured by financing expenses.
There is more to this story than rate relief. Small caps tend to reflect the health of the domestic economy more than their large cap peers, which are often global giants with diverse revenue streams.
A breakout in small caps suggests investors are gaining confidence in the resilience of US growth. Historically, periods following the first Fed cut have delivered outsized returns for small cap indices as liquidity conditions ease and risk appetite broadens beyond the mega cap trade.
Valuations add another tailwind. Relative to large caps, small caps still trade at a steep discount and by some measures are near their widest gap in decades. That discount combined with the Fed’s policy shift sets up a compelling case for reallocation.
For investors who have been overweight large cap technology and growth, this may be an opportune time to diversify into small caps and capture both the valuation gap and the cyclical upside.
The Fed’s move marks a turning point. If this cutting cycle continues, the return of small caps may not just be a headline. It could be the market’s next defining trend.
Have a wonderful week!!
Top ETFs on our Radar… 📈

iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF
The iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF has performed exceptionally well this year. Software companies have shown strong performance as investors seek to identify the next big winner in AI.
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Thanks for reading and have a great week!
-Ryan
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