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This Week’s Market Recap… 📊

We started the year strong, with the market up over 3% in January as optimism surged with Trump’s presidency. Trump, heavily focused on the market, shaped policies accordingly. February began with bullish sentiment until tariffs took center stage.

Trump set a February 1st deadline for 25% tariffs on Mexico and Canada but struck a deal limiting fentanyl flow instead. The market shrugged it off, continuing higher. Optimism remained until February 13th, when Trump and Commerce Secretary Lutnick announced broad reciprocal tariffs.

Initially, the market held up, hitting an all-time high of 6,144 on February 19th. But on February 21st, it collapsed after a weak University of Michigan consumer confidence report sparked inflation fears and talk of stagflation. Since then, sentiment has reversed, and bears have taken control.

Despite all the negativity, the S&P 500 is down just 0.44%, far less than financial media suggests. I see this as bullish—tariffs are the worst policy hurdle, and once past, the market is primed to rally. Tax cuts later this year will be a major tailwind.

Meanwhile, the Trump administration has pushed to lower the 10-year yield, dropping it from 4.80% in January to 4.20% today. While concerns over economic growth persist, a lower yield will be another positive catalyst alongside tax cuts.

With fear dominating, I see incredible buying opportunities. The tariff reaction is overblown, and I remain very bullish, expecting the S&P 500 to reach 7,000 by year-end.

Have a wonderful weekend!!

Top ETFs on our Radar… 📈

ARKB is ARK Invest's spot Bitcoin ETF, offering direct exposure to Bitcoin by holding the cryptocurrency in custody with Coinbase. Designed for investors seeking regulated access to Bitcoin, ARKB provides a convenient way to invest in the asset without managing private keys or wallets.

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Thanks for reading and have a great week!

-Ryan

@Theinvestingauthority