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This Week’s Market Forecast… 📊

President Trump announced Saturday night that the U.S. conducted strikes on Iran's nuclear sites, Fordow, Estefan, and Natanz, following last week's Israeli attack. This move came after intense debate in Congress over whether to use military force to halt Iran’s nuclear ambitions.

Oil prices have jumped more than 10% since Israel's initial attack, raising concerns that Iran might close the critical Strait of Hormuz. Such an action could spike oil prices by an additional 15 to 20 percent. While Iran has threatened closure, practical considerations suggest this outcome is unlikely.

Iran's economy heavily depends on oil exports, nearly all of which are purchased by China due to international sanctions. China relies on the Strait of Hormuz for half of its oil imports, making closure economically disastrous for them. Consequently, China is expected to pressure Iran to avoid escalation.

Oil will most likely rise in the short term, but I think it the medium term the opposite is true. The current supply and demand dynamic for oil sets it up in a position to go lower. The US is producing the most they ever have, and OPEC has committed to unleashing more supply onto the market.

We have seen this dynamic over the last 5 months with oil declining over 20% since Trump was elected. The recent rise has been completely due to geopolitical worries that will ultimately be short lived.

Have a wonderful week!!

Top ETFs on our Radar… 📈

The iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF has performed exceptionally well this year. Software companies have shown strong performance as investors seek to identify the next big winner in AI.

Tune in every Monday and Friday for in-depth Market Analysis, Recaps, and a featured Stock & ETF.

Thanks for reading and have a great week!

-Ryan

@Theinvestingauthority